Last year’s form guide for the 29er Worlds
was pretty close, but this year is going to be a whole different
ball game.
There’s only 1 Australian team entered, so there’s not going to be
the dominating aussies like previous years.
The British team is newer and younger than previous teams - or
maybe I’m just older - but they’re putting together a show of force
after taking all of the top 10 places at the recent
Europeans.
So who’s going to be there at the end…
Dylan & Rob. GBR5. Winners of the qualifying series in San
Francisco, but with a new crew for 2006. Dylan has been at the top
of the British scene for a while now, yet recently finished 2nd to
another strong Brit team. Who knows how he’ll take that
psychologically. I reckon he’ll be top 5 again, probably top
3.
Huw & Max. The other strong Brit team. Actually there’s a lot
of strong Brits, but a win at the Europeans means these guys are
better than most (or the rest actually). They finished 20th in San
Fran so are definately on the way up. On current form I’d say top
3.
Cameron & Matt. Probably the strongest US team. Cameron was
12th in San Fran, Matt crewing for John Heineken was 3rd. They’ve
got a full-new boat and are putting in the effort. I’d say they’re
top 5 material too.
Paul & Marie. Paul finished 4th in the 2003 49er Worlds, so
it’s no question he’s got talent. They’re going to be a light
weight team, so in Weymouth’s typical sub-15-knot winds, they’re
going to be quick. Paul might have an axe to grind after Silja
protested his Yngling team off the podium at the recent World
Champs. We’ll see how that situation plays out, let’s hope there’s
no RMW-i14-esque sitautions during the regatta. They’ll be top 10.
If it’s light they’ll be top 5.
Jen & Mike. Jen was 7th in San Fran with a 49er crew on the
wire. She’s been putting the practice in on both the normal 29er
and the X-rig. Her 470 background will help out in the tight
racing. She’ll be top 10. Don’t think they’ll be a top 5.
Helle & Simon. No idea if they’re turning up, since they
haven’t appeared on any results sheets this season or on the entry
list. They were super quick in the moderate breeze during training
last year, but were blown away a little in the regatta. Conditions
here would suit them better. They’re on the entry list for the
Switzerland EuroCup event, so they might be a late surprise. If
they turn up, they’ll make top 10.
Pepe & Jessica. Pepe has been in the top 10 or so since the
Sydney Worlds in early 2002. He’s representing Spain at this event
with a girl crew. He should have the smarts to be in Gold. I
haven’t seen him sail so I don’t really know. Not a top 5.
Benjamin & Johanna. Germany’s strongest team, and probably the
strongest mainland European team. They were good in the moderate
breezes back in 2004, and have been up there in the EuroCup
regattas so far. If its light to moderate, they’ll be up there. Not
a top 5.
Silja and I. Who knows. We’ve sailed 2 regattas together, but that
was 2 years ago. I haven’t raced since San Fran, and I didn’t do
much between San Fran and Silvaplana. Silja hasn’t raced a 29er
since last years Europeans. What other excuses can I think of?
We’re on the heavier side, which will favour moderate-upwards.
Silja’s light wind sailing in Finland can’t hurt in the super light
stuff. Our boat handling seems pretty good in the stronger breeze.
I’d say top 3. But then a 3rd in 2004 and a 2nd in 2005 means
there’s only 1 result left to make the set.
But then it’s just a bit of fun really.
So that doesn’t leave much room for the rest of the fleet in the
top 10 does it.
Other people to watch maybe…
Mikko Hentinen & Miikka Pennanen. FIN846. Miikka crewed for
Lauri in Silvaplana and finished 2nd. I don’t know anything of
Mikko, but having a great crew can’t hurt.
Karl Malmqvist & Johan Wersall. SWE1064. Not sure since I
haven’t seen them race since 2004. Karl was pretty smart back then
but hadn’t been in the boat for long. I believe he goes to a
sailing high school in Sweden, so should have put the hours in on
the water.
The Argentineans. Surely there’s got to be some fast ones.
The rest of the Brits. Plenty of fast boats there.
So there you go. Let’s wait a few weeks and work out if I’ve got it
right or not. The 70-boat UK Nationals starting on Monday should
give a pretty good indication of form.
And I really don’t need to win another pre-Worlds National Open
Championship.